Saudi Arabia has directly informed Iran that it will not allow its territory or airspace to be used for any U.S. military strikes, amid escalating threats of American intervention in response to Tehran’s deadly suppression of nationwide protests.
The kingdom’s stance, confirmed by sources close to the Saudi government and reported widely in regional media, comes as Gulf states including Oman and Qatar lobby Washington against military action. Fears center on potential chaos in global oil markets and broader regional instability if the U.S. launches strikes while Iran’s regime is already weakened by internal unrest.
The protests, which erupted in late December 2025 over skyrocketing inflation, a collapsing rial currency, and chronic economic mismanagement, have evolved into the most serious challenge to Iran’s clerical rulers since the 2022 Woman Life Freedom uprising. Demonstrators now openly call for regime change.
Human rights groups and opposition activists report a staggering death toll: at least 2,500 to 2,571 protesters killed by security forces since the demonstrations began, with over 18,000 arrests. Witnesses describe live ammunition fired into crowds, security forces storming hospitals to target the wounded, and a near-total internet blackout now in its sixth day, severely limiting communication and obscuring the full scale of the violence.
The blackout, imposed on January 8, has cut off most of Iran from global internet access, with connectivity dropping to a fraction of normal levels. This tactic, used in past crackdowns, is seen as a deliberate effort to disrupt protest coordination and hide atrocities from the world.
Adding urgency to the crisis, Iranian authorities are preparing to execute 26-year-old protester Erfan Soltani as early as Wednesday — the first reported death sentence tied to the current wave of unrest. Soltani was arrested just days ago in Karaj, reportedly denied a lawyer and a fair trial, and charged under capital offenses like “waging war against God.” His family was granted only a brief final visit, heightening international alarm.
President-elect Donald Trump has issued stark warnings, vowing “very strong action” if Iran proceeds with executions or continues the killings. In recent statements, Trump urged protesters to “keep going,” declaring that “help is on its way” and that the U.S. is “locked and loaded.” He has emphasized potential economic and military responses, though details remain unclear.
Tehran has countered by threatening to strike U.S. bases in neighboring countries if Washington intervenes, while regional actors like Saudi Arabia prioritize stability over escalation.
The protests, fueled by food prices up over 70% in the past year and the rial’s dramatic devaluation, have spread to all 31 provinces, drawing millions into the streets despite the brutal repression.
As the situation deteriorates, the international community watches closely. The fate of Erfan Soltani and the broader uprising could tip the balance toward further confrontation — or a dramatic turning point for Iran.